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— Pro Golf Critic (@ProGolfCritic) September 4, 2022For this article, we will work on the basis that things are legitimate.
The PGA Tour has struck new media rights and sponsor deals. These deals and partly the tapping into PGA Tour reserves are responsible for the extra cash.
In his press conference, Monahan explained multiple times the link between entertaining fans and seeking deals with corporate partners. Ultimately, “we’re running a business,” Monahan said.
From a business perspective, on paper, the program Monahan outlined will be capable of delivering what the players, fans, and sponsors want.
So far, the designated events have been a success.
At the WM Phoenix Open, Scottie Scheffler successfully defended his 2022 victory holding off Jon Rahm.
At the Genesis Invitational, Jon Rahm, Max Homa, and Patrick Cantlay battled down the stretch with Rahm claiming the trophy.
The Arnold Palmer Invitational provided a roller-coaster back nine with several top players, including McIlroy, Scheffler, Spieth and Hatton, holding the lead at one point. Kurt Kitayama would go on to don the red cardigan alpaca sweater as the winner.
As fans, it is always more exciting when the best and most popular players are going head to head on a championship Sunday. As Monahan points out, it is what we see in the majors:
"What percentage of the top ten, top 20, top 30 players in the world compete on average against one another at a major championship? The answer: more than 95%. What about those same top players competing together at the remaining PGA Tour events? Answer: less than 40%."
— Jay Monahan
At the early stages of what we have seen of these events, the matchups among top players are there, which makes increased purses consistent with increased fan engagement.
There are two pitfalls that crop up: 1) for non-designated events (full-field events), the fields are made less attractive; 2) the players do not want to be required to play in certain events.
These are both big issues for the PGA Tour.
Full-field events still are likely an important part of their revenue stream. Furthermore, dminishing the value of full-field events threatens the delicate balance between having elevated events and in actuality having what amounts to two tours within the PGA Tour: one for the elite and one for everyone else. Besides being confusing for fans, a two-tour dynamic creates issues for players trying to gain access to the other more exclusive events.
Scond, by forcing players to play specific events and more events than perhaps they want to, the PGA Tour again risks losing its players to alternative tours, namely LIV.
The proposed solution is to reduce the number of elevated events to 8 from 13 this year. This will help with lessening the feel of two tours as well as the number of top events that the tour’s top players will feel the need to play.
Since, unlike this year, PGA Tour players will not be required to play in designated events, incentives are necessary to ensure participation, particularly since designated events will be such a critical aspect of the tour moving forward.
The incentives are increased purses and increased FedEx Cup points. If these two incentives are successful, Official World Golf Ranking points will also increase since they in large part work on the basis of strength of field, i.e., the more top players the greater the available OWGR points.
The limited field sizes in designated events are intended to further help bolster strength of field in full-field events. The thinking is that with smaller fields in designated events, there will be more players that do not qualify and will thus enter full-field events in hopes of securing eligibility to future designated events.
There is a flaw with this thinking unfortunately. As things are currently set, those within the top 50 of the FedEx Cup standings from the prior year will be eligible for all designated events. While there will be some popular players who miss out on the top 50, largely all the popular players will not.
Therefore, these players will not have to compete in full-field events to gain access to designated events. So, what we will end up with is players on the bubble competing in designated events, but those players will still not be fan favorites.
This is the challenge the tour has in enhancing weeks like the Honda Classic a few weeks ago. Eric Cole and Chris Kirk both tightly contested the lead which helped. Unfortunately, though, since these players do not resonate with fans, the interest in the event becomes lacking.
The hope is that the top players will need to play in full-field events in order to secure their position in the FedEx Cup’s top 50 and thus their eligibility for designated events in the following year.
Monahan has explained that designated events will be scheduled early in the season, making full-field events the only option to accrue FedEx Cup points during the summer months as the race to the FedEx Cup heats up.
At the end of the day, all this discussion is theory and perhaps even speculation. We will not know for sure how everything will play out and how successful the incentives will be until they actually happen in 2024.
That being said, the PGA Tour is not going into this blindly. They have run the numbers and met with their players to come up with a plan that they believe will lead to the best possible outcome for everyone.
"The model right now which suggests that roughly a little north of 60% of the players in the top 50 will retain their position. So, more than a third will not. … When you look at the top 125 in our current system, the turnover rate there is 25%."
— Jay Monahan
These percentages Monahan describes above are the churn rate. The higher the churn rate, the more likely we should see players compete in more events, both full-field and designated events. They need to play in the events to avoid losing playing privileges.
Again, we will have to wait and see how things will unfold. The problem still remains that the top golfers want to play less but fans want to see them more. Incentives or not, it will be interesting to see if the new PGA Tour structure proves effective for its fans and sponsors while also giving players what they want in order not to lose them.
That is where things stand with the PGA Tour, its players and its competition with LIV Golf to keep its players. The topic is controversial. Some applaud the PGA Tour’s efforts to innovative and restructure. Others worry about the division that could materialize between very elite players and other PGA Tour players. Still others mock the hypocrisy of the PGA Tour and, from their perspective, its evolution towards becoming LIV Golf.
If you are interested in a deeper dive into the topic of LIV Golf and the possible hypocrisy displayed by the PGA Tour, Golf Surfer™ has you covered in Is the PGA Tour Copying LIV Golf?.